CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-10-18T06:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-10-18T06:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/27364/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The CME appears fairly faint in SOHO imagery, but is more clearly defined in STEREO A imagery. The source appears to be a minor/brief eruption from ~S23E37 starting around 2023-10-18T05:37Z with filament ejecta visible in SDO/AIA 304 starting around 06:00Z and associated dimming seen at 06:38Z following eruption in SDO/AIA 193. There are some minor and brief post-eruptive arcades visible in SDO/AIA 193 and 335 best seen around 06:30Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-10-21T15:01Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.66667 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 50.53 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-10-19T12:29Z
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